TNAG-2402-FCO40-3489-Vietnamese-migrants-Orderly-Repatriation-Programme-(ORP)-1992 — Page 18

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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6. touch.

Mr Deal said that he would like to stay in close I said that I would always be available. Later on, when he had settled down, we could consider whether it might be useful to meet fairly regularly for an exchange of views on Anglo-US relations. (He will clearly be a better interlocutor than his predecessor intelligent,

well briefed and to the point).

7.

I asked him for his personal view on the US Presidential election. He said that he had taken the view much earlier that Perot would be lucky to get ten per cent of the vote. Perot's standing in the polls was now declining and he thought his earlier prediction would be justified by events. But he thought the President would have a very tough contest with Clinton, who would clearly receive a big boost from the current Democratic Convention. He wondered whether the President was now having doubts about whether he really wanted another term. The issues that Mr Bush liked to address, in particular foreign affairs issues, were now slipping down the agenda and he probably did not relish the prospect of having to deal with the problems of the domestic economy. Or perhaps he was just tired. The discussion that he was about to have on a fishing trip with Mr Baker could be crucial. It would be interesting to see whether the President came out of that with all guns firing.

معهما

Jolin holes.

Sir John Coles

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