CONFIDENTIAL
give no certainty that the SAR government will not change them post-1997. Civil servants are looking for the
government fully to fund pensions and for the funds to be
invested in private sector institutions, substantially
overseas, to reduce the chances of massive exchange rate
depreciation or interference by the SARG. Because of the huge sums involved in funding pensions, the Hong Kong
Government has refused to contemplate such a significant
step. Instead it has looked at 4 options:
(a) Partial funding of pensions.
This would involve setting aside and maintaining a separate reserve fund sufficient at any time to meet estimated
pension payments for the next (say 5) years. HKG has rejected this on the basis of the initial sum required say HK $15 billion; the difficulty in justifying setting
aside funds on this scale for the benefit of a small section
of the society; and the provisions in the Joint Declaration
and Basic Law that pensions will be paid.
(b) A Hypothecated Pension Fund Scheme.
This would involve institutions lending to a notional
corporation which would be backed by the future flow of lump
sum payments from the Government to individuals as they
became due. The scheme is unlikely to be feasible: lending institutions would be unlikely to lend for more than a
10 year period (and if they did the cost would become
prohibitive) so the scheme could only benefit a few
officers; and the investment return would be unlikely to
cover the cost of financing the borrowing, so individuals
would be out of pocket.
(c) Higher Commutation of Pensions.
This would involve allowing civil servants to commute more
than the current 50%
say 75%. The main drawbacks to this
JUDADG/2
CONFIDENTIAL
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