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ONE IMPEDIMENT TO THIS REMAINED THE CASE OF THE MAN EXTRADITED TO THE US FROM CHINA ON DRUGS CHARGES WHO HAD SUBSEQUENTLY CLAIMED POLITICAL ASYLUM. THE CLAIM HAD BEEN REJECTED BY THE ADMINISTRATION BUT WAS BEING PURSUED THROUGH THE COURTS. THE CHINESE HAD REFUSED FURTHER COOPERATION IN THE MEANTIME.
(2) JAMMING OF VOA. THE AMERICANS HAD RAISED THIS BUT GOT NO
RESPONSE.
(3) MIA'S. THE AMERICANS HAD FOR SOME TIME BEEN SEEKING CHINESE COOPERATION IN TRACING MIAS FROM THE KOREAN AND VIETNAMESE WARS BELIEVED TO BE IN CHINA THE CHINESE HAD ACCEPTED LISTS AND HAD NOT REFUSED COOPERATION. BUT THEY HAD HAD NOTHING NEW TO SAY TO
BAKER ON THIS OCCASION.
CONCLUSION.
17. ROY THOUGHT THAT THE CHINESE HAD FOUND THE US VERY DIFFICULT TO DEAL WITH BEFORE AND DURING BAKER'S VISIT, BUT THAT THEY RECOGNISED THAT THE PRESIDENT WAS UNDER REAL DOMESTIC PRESSURE ON HIS CHINA POLICY, AND THAT THE PRESSURE WOULD GET WORSE IN AN ELECTION YEAR UNLESS PROGRESS WAS MADE ON MAJOR ISSUES. IT WOULD BE SOME TIME BEFORE JUDGEMENTS COULD BE MADE ABOUT THE SUCCESS OF THE VISIT IN HELPING THE ADMINISTRATION TO MANAGE THE RELATIONSHIP. MUCH DEPENDED ON ACTIONS BY BOTH SIDES IN THE COMING WEEKS, E.G. ON WHETHER THERE WAS SUPPORT IN CONGRESS FOR THE US TO LIFT THE SANCTIONS WHICH WOULD TRIGGER CHINA'S ADHESION TO THE MTCR GUIDELINES: WHETHER SUFFICIENT PROGRESS WAS MADE IN THE TRADE TALKS IN WASHINGTON LATER THIS WEEK TO ALLOW THE SPECIAL 301 ACTION TO BE TERMINATED: AND WHETHER THE CHINESE DECIDED TO RELEASE SOME DISSIDENTS WITHOUT, OF COURSE, ANY REFERENCE TO THE BAKER VISIT. IF THERE WAS NO PROGRESS IN THESE AREAS, OR IF THE CHINESE DID THINGS WHICH GAVE RISE TO NEW STRAINS, 1992 COULD STILL BE A VERY
DIFFICULT YEAR.
18 I SHALL HAVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO HEAR A CHINESE ACCOUNT OF THE VISIT WHEN EC AMBASSADORS DINE WITH FOREIGN MINISTER QIAN QICHEN
ON 21 NOVEMBER.
MCLAREN
YYYY
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