RESTRICTED
TABLE 2 ASSESSMENT OF THE EFFECT OF HOR-RENEWAL OF KEN STATOS FOR
CHINA BY US OF THE RE-EXPORTS OF HONG KONG
(Rased on 1998 xituation)
Annnu "
(cont'd)
(24
1990 RX of
Chian origin to
Effect of 10R-X?]
I reduction to 21
Persia.
Reduced RI valce
OS market
status on
Icezario
Optin. scenario
Perr
Optimistic
scenario
scenario
Conxodity group
China's
BID X X share
inports
1
HID Na
⠀ED Xı
Toys, games, sporting goods and baby carriages
16,334
20.1
Lov
30
20
3,080.2
3,386.8
Mixcel. ft. articles
3,409 4.2
LOY
30
20
1,022.7
681.8
Onter garments, textile, wonen's
5,575
6.1
figh
10
70
4,460.0
3,902.5
Outer garments, laitted or crocheted
3,200
1.9
Tigh
80
TO
2,560.0
2.240.0
Oluthing accessories, uul textile fabrica
1,718
1.1
LUT
30
20
515.4
Outer garments, men's, not knitted or crocheted
1,747
2.1
High
10
10
1,397.6
1,222.9
Onder garments of textile fabrics
1.407
1.7
Xedium-high
10
50
984.9
103.5
Radio-broadcast receivers
1,843 4.1
Low
30
20
1,112.9
168.6
Sound and I recorders
1,621
2.0
Median-high
TO
30
1,134.1
810.5
Travel foods, handbags
5.361
6.6
Low
30
20
1,608.3
1,072.2
Household electrical equipment
4,768
5.8
Medium-high
10
50
3,311.6
2.384.0
Pootwear
9.039
11.1
Low
30
20
2.711.7
1,807.8
Patcher and clocks
1,341
1.6
Lon
30
20
402.1
268.2
Total of the above
59,963
73.4
26,368.3
19,592.4
Estimate of percentage reduction in W of
China origin to US
442
33%
Total RX of China orgia to 89
81,645
Estimate of total reduction in EX of
35.923.1
26,942.9
China origin to 05
Total Re-exports of Hong Long
413,999
Estin£ï à percentage reduction in
"ital Re-exports of Hong Long
Note: The effect of 201-17 Ytatus of China's imports into the USA is based on
the analysis of the trade pattern of China's exports to 0.3. (see Table 1)
8.7%
6.5%
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