TNAG-2119-FCO40-3025-Future-of-Hong-Kong-general-1990 — Page 86

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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many people are lured by the suddenly brightened career

prospects, their support of the government and their opposition

to instability will be of help to the maintenance of

governability. Finally, even China is worried by the possibility

of breakdown of the colonial government. Simply for the sake of

self-interests, China would mostly likely come forth to help the

colonial government if it is caught in great difficulties.

Despite these ameliorating factors, still it can be

anticipated that the erosion of the conditions for effective

colonial governance will accelerate as 1997 approaches, and the

difficulties faced by it will continue to mount. Unlike

decolonization elsewhere, Britain does not enjoy the freedom to

quit Hong Kong in any time she deems convenient. The Sino-British

Joint Declaration has already fixed a date for her departure, and

for Britain to quit Hong Kong earlier than 1997 is unthinkable.

Therefore, Britain has no other choice than to strive to maintain

effective governance in Hong Kong in the remaining years before

1997, even though to do so is becoming increasingly difficult.

The maintenance of effective governance in the twilight of

colonial rule lies in the strengthening of political authority,

for the erosion of the favorable conditions for effective

colonial rule is in essence the direct or indirect erosion of

colonial authority. A critical condition for effective rule in

the last years of the transition is the establishment of a strong

political authority which can demand a certain level of respect

from the public, can formulate and implement public policies with

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