TNAG-2119-FCO40-3025-Future-of-Hong-Kong-general-1990 — Page 65

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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competitors in the Asian Pacific region who can exploit cheaper

labor. Admittedly, the utilization of cheap labor in China by

Hong Kong's manufacturers and the economic benefits reaped from

China's economic reforms have alleviated the difficulties of Hong

Kong, but they are not enough at least in the short run

solve its problems.

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To further complicate its economic problems, the rate of

inflation in Hong Kong remained high in the past few years, and is

expected to hover at a high level in the near future. Both the

brain drain and the shortage of labor are factors accounting for

the high inflation rate. The gradual devaluation of the Hong Kong

dollar, which is linked with the weakening U.S. dollar, also

fuels the inflationary pressure in an economy highly dependent on

imports both for productive and consumption purposes.

The implication of economic downturn for a government whose

political legitimacy is heavily based on economic performance are

adverse. If poor economic performance continues for a longer

period of time, the myth that colonial governance and the

economic miracle of Hong Kong are organically linked will be

broken, and the value of the government to the people will be

downgraded.

Politicization of Society and Proliferation of Social Conflicts

Social change in Hong Kong in the post-war period has

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See Tasks for the 1990s: Implementing Hong Kong's Strategy for Building Prosperity (Hong Kong: Hong Kong Economic Survey Ltd., June 1990).

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