TNAG-2100-FCO40-2989-HM-Overseas-Civil-Service-(HMOCS)-policy-matters-1990 — Page 200

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

ANNEX A

COST OF A SCHEME

Whatever form the scheme takes, the cost would also

depend on a number of other factors, including:

1.

(a) The number of eligible HMOCS officers

There are currently about 500 HMOCS officers who will be

below retirement age in 1997. But 45 of these will be

taking early retirement under the limited compensation scheme and a further 80 officers will be retiring under the

special scheme for Special Branch Officers. In addition,

another 390 officers, currently serving on contract terms,

have the right to become HMOCS members if they so wish.

Because there are so many imponderables involved,

it is impossible to predict with any accuracy how many HMOCS officers will decide to stay on after 1997. Projections

based on 3 alternative scenarios are set out below.

i) "Best case scenario"

Assuming there is no natural wastage due to death or

resignation from the service before 1997 and that all those

with the option to become HMOCS members decide to exercise

that right, the maximum number of HMOCS officers who would

be eligible for compensation in 1997 would be 750. If all

these officers remained in place until they reached their normal retirement age, the number receiving compensation

would be as follows:

1997

750

1998

717

1999

691

2000

665

2001

632

2002

594

WEDABI/1

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