TNAG-1942-FCO40-2768-Internal-economic-situation-in-Hong-Kong-1989 — Page 54

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

5

12.

On the financial sector, the following

developments during the first quarter are

noteworthy.

First, the market exchange rate of

the Hong Kong dollar remained stable against the

US dollar, while the overall exchange value of

the Hong Kong dollar showed a moderate

appreciation, in line with the firming up of the

US dollar. Secondly, continuing the trend which

began in 1988, local interest rates rose

further.

Despite this, domestic loans and

advances continued to increase rapidly.

Thirdly, trading in local stocks and in Hang

Seng Index futures picked up.

However, the

market for debt instruments remained relatively

quiet.

13.

The Government Economist indicated

that it was in the light of these developments,

that it was decided that the forecast growth

rates of the main domestic demand components

should remain substantially unchanged from those

released at the time of the Budget Speech.

However, it was considered appropriate to lower

the forecast growth rate of domestic exports

from 7% to 6%, and that of re-exports from 22%

to 18%, both in real terms.

Correspondingly,

the forecast growth rates of imports and

t

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