TNAG-1941-FCO40-2767-Future-of-Hong-Kong-defence-and-public-order-1989 — Page 40

SECRET UK EYES A

there is increasing likelihood that a programme of minor naval and land exercises will take place in 1990/91. Despite a poor sales record in UK, Egypt's recent determination to purchase two 'O' class submarines (and the opportunity this could present for subsequent liaison and training) reflects a rediscovered

confidence in Britain. Egypt continues to be of considerable

strategic importance to the UK in terms of defence and

commercial transit, and, in view of her rehabilitation into the

Arab League, her co-founding role in the Arab Cooperation Council

(ACC), and her rapidly increasing stock in the Arab world, is a

deserving target for continued defence effort.

14.

A firm policy of reciprocity towards Israel has led to a better-balanced defence relationship, and a programme of more

senior military visitors in both directions to discuss

uncontentious subjects is under active consideration. The UK'S

recently publicised intention to increase the numbers and roles

of women in the Armed Forces has presented a further area of

mutual interest of minimal sensitivity and will provide increased

scope for the programme of visits.

15.

Defence relations with Jordan remain strong, although serious economic decline has not only demonstrated the fragility of the socio-economic base but has also blighted the sales arena

and prospects for LSP (Tornado has been deferred indefinitely and there are doubts about Jordan's ability to complete funding for

the Vosper patrol craft). However, this is balanced to an extent

by continued mutual commitment to Exercise PURPLE VICTORY 91 and

efforts are now being concentrated at directing the Jordanians

towards less expensive training courses in the UK to maintain the

steady flow of Jordanian servicemen through British

establishments.

16. The situation in Lebanon has featured repeatedly in the media throughout the year and although of little, if any, direct defence interest, has demanded a degree of defence effort and

commitment in support of the British Embassy in Beirut.

occupation of much of Lebanon outside the Christian enclave and

Israel's presence in South Lebanon continue. Although international (non-Arab) mediation has failed to influence either

SECRET UK EYES A

Syrian

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