TNAG-1937-FCO40-2763-Future-of-Hong-Kong-defence-and-public-order-1989 — Page 94

SECRET UK EYES A LOCSEN

1989, tied to an announcement on the future of the Gurkhas as a whole - together

with the notification that the decision on the future disposal of the first bat-

talion withdrawn will be announced in 1990.

REVIEWS

57. The COS are asked to endorse the proposal that the next biennial review

should be cancelled, and that the major 1992 review of the Hong Kong Garrison

Withdrawal Plan should be advanced, and completed by the end of 1991 (6 months

before the withdrawal of the first of the 4 remaining battalions).

58. The COS are asked to note that if at any time the situation or threat

changes in a manner that is likely to justify a review of the above decisions or

planning they will be advised accordingly.

59.

The COS are advised that the contingency plan for the reinforcement of Hong

Kong (JTP 30) will be reviewed immediately after this paper has received their

clearance.

STUDIES

60. The COS are invited to endorse the requirement for a DIS study of the fac-

tors likely to contribute to the outbreak of violence in Hong Kong, and of what, if

any, additional collection and assessment capability will be required to monitor

the threat in order to achieve timely warning. This study should be completed

by 1 Jul 91-in time to form a basis for the major review proposed in

paragraphs 42 and 43.

61. The COS are asked to note that the following studies have already been com-

missioned or refined as a result of this biennial review:

ROW 113 (HONG)

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SECRET UK EYES A LOCSEN