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4.
The Americans have said that they expect most of the conversation between the Secretary of State and Mr Shultz to be
spent on Summitry, but are prepared for (though have not specified)
other issues.
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5. On Summit issues, much depends on what is covered by the
President and Prime Minister on 2 June. The Secretary of State will
have seen telegrams from Moscow in the course of the visit and a
report on Mr Shultz's briefing of NATO Foreign Ministers in Brussels earlier that day. He may nonetheless wish to probe Mr
Shultz on some of the outcomes the management of East-West relations; Gorbachev, the internal scene (particularly human rights); the whole gamut of arms control issues; Afghanistan
post-Geneva agreement. Indeed, the breakfast may be the first occasion to cover regional issues in some depth. We would value Mr Shultz's assessment of current Soviet thinking on Arab-Israel, and also the objectives of his own trip to the region immediately after London; on the Gulf, (prospects for an arms embargo, and UN and Western initiatives/co-operation); on Southern Africa; Ethiopia, which the US will raise to enlist Soviet assistance; Nicaragua, and Soviet arms sales; and the Allied Berlin initiative. We should
receive firmer indications of the range of issues covered at the Summit in the early reporting from Moscow.
6. Under 3, we hope that the Secretary of State will try to make time to raise several important but not Summit-related issues, such as burdensharing, nuclear proliferation in the sub-continent (including the prospects for US-Soviet co-operation over the agreed threat); Falklands/Argentina, taking the opportunity to reiterate our position. A word on international trade issues would also be appropriate.
7. There are a number of other issues (Category C) which will not in likelihood be discussed during the breakfast, but which would merit mention, time permitting on other occasions. An order of priority is indicated in the index: Cyprus, after the Prime
Minister's discussions with the Secretary-General; Philippines and
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