EXHIBIT A-10
TELECOMMUNICATIONS DEMAND
(HK MILLIONS)
SCENARIO 4
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1997
2002
2007
Lines (Scenario 1)
586
624
664
705
748
973
1,241
1,584
Premium Lines
152
169
186
205
224
340
497
634
New Provider Lines (Thousands) (NP)
0
0
0
0
0
65
157
222
Share of Premium Lines (NP)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
19%
328
35%
Share of Total Lines (NP)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
78%
13%
14%
Share of Lines (EP)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
93%
878%
868
Buildings (NP)
0
0
0
0
0
185
255
290
Share of Non Franchised Service (NP)
0%
08
0%
08
0%
28
5%
5%
BUSINESS LINES
Incremental Int'l Call Growth
0%
0%
0%
08%
0%
5%
5%
58%
Total Int'l Call Growth
18%
16%
14%
128
10%
68%
6%
6%
International Call Min. (Scen 1) Incremental Minutes
125
145
165
185
204
288
386
516
0
0
0
0
0
14
19
26
Total Minutes
125
145
165
185
204
303
405
542
New Provider Share of IDD Call Minute Existing Provider Share of IDD Call
0
0
0
0
0
20
51
76
125
145
165
185
204
283
354
466
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