CONFIDENTIAL #Z
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Table 2
Table 3
118% in the second quarter.
increase of 18% was recorded,
decline of 30% in 1986.
5.
(b)
In 1987, an
following a
Retained imports of capital
goods
Subject to certain statistical limitations, retained imports of capital
goods provide a useful indicator of the
latest trend in investment in plant and
machinery. They rose by 16% in the third
quarter of 1988, compared with increases of
9% in the first quarter and 17% in the second
quarter. Taking the first three quarters of 1988 together, these retained imports grew by 14% (Table 2). Athough this was lower than
the 26% growth recorded for 1987 as a whole, it suggests that investment activity has remained strong.
6.
Industrial machinery was the
largest component of retained imports of
capital goods in the first three quarters of
1988 (accounting for 24% of the total value), followed by transport equipment (12%), and electronic components and parts for computers
(11%). A breakdown of retained imports of capital goods by major categories, along with
their respective growth rates in money terms,
is given in Table 3. Because of the
difficulties in compiling reliable price indices as the product breakdown becomes more
disaggregated, growth rates in real terms are
G.F. 326
CONFIDENTIAL # 3
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