TNAG-1748-FCO40-2467-Visit-by-Sir-Geoffrey-Howe--Secretary-of-State-for-Foreign-a-1988 — Page 26

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

CONFIDENTIAL

FM HONG KONG

TO DESKBY 251300Z FCO

TELNO 2003

OF 25103OZ MAY 88

CONFIDENTIAL

047733

MDHIAN 0719

SECRETARY OF STATE'S VISIT: CURRENT MOOD

SUMMARY

IN GENERAL HONG KONG PROSPEROUS BUT NERVY. ECONOMY DOING WELL

ALTHOUGH NOT EXPANDING AS FAST AS LAST YEAR. LABOUR SHORTAGE A

PROBLEM, WITH EMIGRATION A CONTRIBUTING FACTOR FOR SOME MIDDLE MANAGEMENT POSTS. BASIC LAW CURRENTLY TOP OF THE FUTURE-RELATED

ISSUES: BUT COMMENT STILL GENERAL AND UNFOCUSSED. MOST PEOPLE HAVE

NOT READ IT: NEVERTHELESS, CONCERN ABOUT WHAT IT IMPLES FOR FUTURE

CHINESE INTENTIONS AND BEHAVIOUR. MUCH WORRY ALSO ABOUT INCREASING ARRIVALS OF VIETNAMESE BOAT PEOPLE. ANY ISSUE INVOLVING UK (VIETNAMESE REFUGEES, BN(0) PASSPORTS) LOOKED AT WITH SCEPTICAL INTENSITY TO JUDGE DEGREE OF HMG'S COMMITTMENT TO HONG KONG.

CONTINUING NERVOUSNESS ABOUT THE TRANSITION TO 1997.

GENERAL

2.

THE GOVERNMENT CONDUCTS REGULAR PUBLIC OPINION POLLS TO GUAGE POPULAR OPINION ON CURRENT ISSUES AND ON THE GOVERNMENT'S PERFOR- MANCE. THE LATEST SUCH POLL WAS CONDUCTED IN DECEMBER. 80 PERCENT

OF THOSE POLLED SAID THEY WERE (QUOTE) HIGHLY SATISFIED (UNQUOTE) OR

(QUOTE) SATISFIED (UNQUOTE) WITH THE GOVERNMENT'S OVERALL PERFOR- MANCE. THE GOVERNMENT SCORES HIGH MARKS FOR ITS HANDLING OF DOMESTIC

ISSUES. THE FUTURE OF HONG KONG RANKS THIRD AS A PERCEIVED PROBLEM

BEHIND TRANSPORT AND HOUSING.

THE ECONOMY

3. THE BOUYANT STATE OF THE ECONOMY IS A MAJOR CONTRIBUTING FACTOR

TO THIS COMPARITIVELY ROSY VIEW OF LIFE IN THE PRESENT AND THE

IMMEDIATE FUTURE. UNEMPLOYMENT HAS REMAINED VERY LOW AT 1.6 PERCENT FOR THE THREE MONTH PERIOD UP TO MARCH. INCREASES IN WAGE RATES, PARTICULARLY IN THE BUILDING AND CONSTRUCTION SECTOR, HAVE BEEN SUBSTANTIAL. THE PROPERTY MARKET IS ACTIVE: PRICES IN SOME SECTORS HAVE EXCEEDED THE LEVELS REACHED PRIOR TO THE STOCK MARKET CRASH OF OCTOBER 1987. CAPITAL INVESTMENT IS STILL GROWING, ALTHOUGHT IT

PAGE 1 CONFIDENTIAL

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