TNAG-1725-FCO40-2438-Minutes-and-Hansards-of-the-Legislative-Council-of-Hong-Kong-1988 — Page 75

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

Appendix B-Contd.

FORECAST OF PLANNED TRENDS IN PUBLIC EXPENDITURE 1987-88 TO 1991-92 9 Table 2 shows forecast Consolidated Account expenditure over the period from 1987-88 to 1991-92 and the forecast share of individual services.

Consolidated Account Expenditure by Service Groups 1987-88 to 1991-92

Table 2

Revised Estimate

Forecast

Services

1987-88

1988-89

1989-90

1990-91

1991-92

%

%

%

%

%

14.6

14.6

14.3

14.2

14.2

(A) General Services

(B) Security Services

(1) Law and Order

8.9

8.7

(2) Immigration

0.9

1.0

(3) Internal Security

3.3

2.8

888

8.8

8.8

8.9

1.0

1.0

1.0

2.7

2.6

2.5

13.1

12.5

12.5

12.4

12.4

4.0

4.1

4.1

3.9

3.8

(C) Economic Services

(D) Community Services

(1) Transport

4.9

4.7

4.7

4.2

4.0

(2) Land & Civil Engineering

6.1

5.7

5.7

5.9

5.9

(3) Water

3.4

3.0

3.0

2.8

2.7

(4) Other

8.4

8.5

8.5

8.5

8.5

22.8

21.9

21.9

21.4

21.1

(E) Social Services

(1) Education

18.0

18.0

17.8

18.1

18.3

(2) Medical

9.4

9.7

9.7

10.3

10.9

(3) Housing

12.1

12.6

12.9

12.4

11.9

(4) Social Welfare

5.7

6.3

6.5

7.0

7.1

(5) Labour

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

45.5

46.9

47.2

48.1

48.5

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

Total Consolidated Account expenditure

$mn

Smn

Smn

Smn

Smn

54,080

62,590

70,500

76,670

84,140

10 The above table only takes into account current trends and actual or planned commitments as defined earlier in footnote (2) on page 17. It does not, therefore, prejudge decisions relating to further new or improved services over the period which may be introduced within overall expenditure planning guidelines.

11 In considering these expenditure forecasts it should be remembered that individual service groups exhibit different characteristics which affect their underlying financial requirements. This may be due, for example, to the anticipated pattern of demand for a particular service, the phasing of capital programmes, the timing of the recurrent consequences of capital projects once completed, and the introduction of new or improved services to be implemented as part of the 1988-89 budget proposals.

21

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