TNAG-1638-FCO40-2282-Future-of-Hong-Kong-withdrawal-of-the-British-garrison-1987 — Page 112

SECRET UK EYES A

APPENDIX 1 TO ANNEX A " ATTACHMENT TO CDS 7/87

ARMY CRITICAL PLANNING DATES

FACTORS

1. Barracks and Married Quarters. The situation regarding barracks and married quarters is complicated. Many imponderables will not be resolved until the studies into the future of the Gurkhas have reached an advanced stage. In general terms a 5-8 year lead time will be required for a new build, while 3 years should suffice if refurbished barracks are to be used.

Lead Times. Provided quartering and funding decisions are taken well before rundown starts, lead times for decisions will then be dictated by the need to:

2.

a. Achieve unit disbandments with minimum redundancy costs. Three years is the minimum and is dictated primarily by recruiting controls.

b. Achieve reductions in the Army MPT to match the withdrawal of individuals.

C.

Again 3 years is required.

Apply redundancy. 11 years is necessary if those affected are to have adequate notice.

Carry out the necessary planning and action for withdrawal (involving either disbandment or redeployment of units). In view of the complex way in which units and infrastructure relate, ? years are required.

a.

Application of Lead Times to Events, Unti decisions are reached on the long term future of Hong Kong units, it is not possible to determine the precise lead time for each step of the run-down. Some examples of the lead time variations are as follows:

3.

a.

To disband a unit in long Kong 3 years.

b.

To redeploy a unit to K for disbandment - 2 years.

C.

To redeploy a unit to UK for re-roleing

www

2 years.

d.

To sband a unit in UK to make space for a unit to be withdrawn from Hong Kong

COS S/176(2)

Al 1 UK FYES A

SECRET LOCSEN

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31 years.