TNAG-1630-FCO40-2246-Visits-by-Hong-Kong-Government-officials-to-China--the-UK-an-1987 — Page 120

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2.

We also have to compare the forecast of aircraft movements with the capacity of the runway. For the presert single runway at Kai Tak, the maximum capacity is 30 aircraft movements per hour (though a figure of 33 may be possible). Assuming some demand management techniques (i.e. rescheduling some aircraft movements to non-peak hours), Kai Tak is likely to be able to meet

traffic demand up to 1995-2005. While cargo traffic would readily accept rescheduling, passenger airlines would co so only to a limited extent. would be increasing inconvenience to the travelling public.

9.

There

There are also physical constraints. Land for the expansion of the passenger, cargo and maintenance apron and other airport services facilities will be necessary to match increased aircraft movements. Regarding

environmental constraints, noise is particularly important. At present, except in very exceptional circumstances, no flights are permitted between mid-night and 6:30 a.m. Also, except for unfavourable wind conditions, all flights between 9 p.m. and mid-night must land and take-off in the direction

of Lei Yue Mun, and not over urban developments.

10.

The Government will shortly commerce a consultancy study O Ti the development potential and ultimate capacity of Kai Tak. The consultancy will review future demands, particularly in the light of recent increases. Comparing the twelve months ending June 1987 with the twelve months ending June 1986, the number of air passengers increased by 16%, the number of

aircraft movements by 11%, and the torrage of air cargo by 22%. It will also study possible developments et Kai Tak, determine the ultimate capacity of Kai Tak taking into account environmental (particularly noise) and surface access constraints, estimate when that capacity would be reached, and economic disbenefits (i.e. possible harm to the economy) due to demand not being fully met. This study will start in October 1987 for completion in the last quarter of 1988.

11.

assess the

Even with further developments, IA at Kai Tak has a finite life. In order to cater for demand arising from economic growth and to maintain HK's an international and regional civil aviatior centre as envisaged and provided for in the Joint Declaration, at some stage a replacement airport

role as

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