CONFIDENTIAL
17.
A
unilateral
approach to Vietnam thus appears to present the same very considerable difficulties that it did
Nonetheless we
a year ago.
must face up to the fact that
it would be short-sighted and unwise to continue acting on assumption that the problem of Vietnamese refugees
Hong Kong or elsewhere) can be solved by resettlement
The reasons are all too clear:
the
alone.
(in
(i) "compassion fatigue" will intensify as world attention switches away from SE Asia to fresh
refugee problems (for example in Africa):
(ii) each new resettlement
diplomatic
campaign
gesture and each new
are likely to bring
diminishing
efforts:
returns
despite our
best
(iii) diminishing commitment or greater selectivity
on the part of the resettlement countries
pushes the problem back on countries of first
asylum (and Hong Kong):
(iv) even if resettlement rates could be increased
this would only intensify the potential "pull
effect", mak ing flight from Vietnam more
and swelling the numbers to be
attractive
resettled.
18.
The need is to find a way of tackling the problem
which might minimise the domestic political risks for HMG
while maximising pressure on the Vietnamese to play a cooperative role. It is proposed that we should now begin exploring with the UNHCR and with those countries involved
in the Indo-Chinese refugee problem (the main resettlement
countries and the countries of first asylum) the possibility of a multilateral approach to the problem. The
first step would be to establish a common view of the
nature of the problem and possible solutions.
CONFIDENTIAL
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