TNAG-1534-FCO40-2098-Hong-Kong-Vietnamese-refugees-repatriation-1986 — Page 109

CONFIDENTIAL

17.

A

unilateral

approach to Vietnam thus appears to

present the same very considerable difficulties that it did

a year ago.

Nonetheless we must face up to the fact that

it would be short-sighted and unwise to continue acting on the assumption that the problem of Vietnamese refugees (in

Hong Kong or elsewhere) can be solved by resettlement

The reasons are all too clear:

alone.

(i) "compassion fatigue" will intensify as world attention switches away from SE Asia to fresh refugee problems (for example in Africa):

(ii) each new resettlement

diplomatic

campaign

gesture and each new

are likely to bring

diminishing

efforts:

returns

despite Our

best

(iii) diminishing commitment or greater selectivity

on the part of the resettlement countries pushes the problem back on countries of first asylum (and Hong Kong):

(iv) even if resettlement rates could be increased this would only intensify the potential "pull

effect", making flight from Vietnam more

attractive and swelling the numbers to be

resettled.

18.

The need is to

to find a way of tackling the problem which might minimise the domestic political risks for HMG while maximising pressure on the Vietnamese to play a cooperative role. It is proposed that we should now begin exploring with the UNHCR and with those countries involved in the Indo-Chinese refugee problem (the main resettlement countries and the countries of first asylum) the possibility of a multilateral approach to the problem. The

be step would

to establish a common view of the

nature of the problem and possible solutions.

first step

CONFIDENTIAL