TNAG-1531-FCO40-2095-Hong-Kong-Vietnamese-refugees-general-1987 — Page 64

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

wider factors over which

he has no control. Nevertheless

even when objectives are

unquantifiable,

they can be identified, observed, and tested;

b

surrogate

one can learn a great deal from

measures and from combinations of partial indicators;

с

some intermediate objectives can often be

quantified even if ultimate objectives cannot.

13 DEFINING THE ASSUMPTIONS

deal

In any appraisal or evaluation a great/has to be taken

for granted. It would be impracticable and impossibly

expensive to look at every single link

every single link in the chain and

test whether it is secure. However a good evaluation

will consider what the underlying assumptions

decide which need to be regularly looked at.

be thought of as falling into two types.

are, and

They can

14 The links between the ultimate objectives and the

intermediate objectives often rest

an assumption that

there is a causal relationship between the two. Some

of these cause-and-effect

assumptions can and should

be made explicit. For example a research and development.

programme may be achieving its intermediate objectives of

economic

technical success, but can only achieve the ultimate

benefits if other things were to happen. In

the case of regulations there may

may be assumptions about

6

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