V
DIFFERENT TO THAT OF THE UK AND OTHER WEST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES. THE FORMER GROUP CALL CANDIDATES FORWARD FOR INTERVIEWS AND PROCESSING ONLY AFTER EXIT VISAS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY THE VIETNAMESE WHILE THE LATTER APPROVE APPLICANTS BEFORE THEY APPLY FOR EXIT VISAS.
C. *N MID-1985 THE FRENCH FOUND THOSE COMING FORWARD FOR PROCESSING HAVING OBTAINED THEIR EXIT VISAS WERE LARGELY OF CHINESE ETHNIC ORIGIN. THE FRENCH DID NOT WANT THEM SO THEY SLOWED THEIR PROGRAMME DOWN. IN THE AUTUMN THE US FOUND THEY WERE BEING GIVEN ONLY UNDESIRABLES (CRIMINALS, IT IS ALLEGED) INSTEAD OF THOSE FOR WHOM THEY WERE ASKING AND STOPPED PROCESSING CASES. THIS RESULTED IN A BACKLOG WHICH THE VIETNAMESE AND UNHCR ESTIMATE AT 20,000, THE US AT ONLY 14,000 WHO HAVE EXIT VISAS. THERE ARE A FURTHER 40,000 US CASES WHERE EXIT VISAS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BUT THE CANDIDATES HAVE NOT BEEN CALLED FORWARD FOR PROCESSING. BECAUSE OF THIS, FROM 1 JANUARY 86, THE VIETNAMESE CEASED TO ISSUE EXIT VISAS FOR US CASES.
D.
THE AUSTRALIAN AND CANADIAN ODPS HAVE ALSO FOUND THEY ARE RECEIVING NO NEW CASES WHERE EXIT VISAS HAVE BEEN GRANTED ALTHOUGH THE AUSTRALIANS HAVE BEEN TOLD THAT NEW CASES WILL BE PRODUCED SHORTLY.
E.
FOR THE PRESENT THERE ARE ENOUGH CASES IN THE PIPELINE OF US, CANADIAN AND AUSTRALIAN ODPS TO KEEP DEPARTURE RATES OVERALL GOING AT 1984 LEVELS UNTIL SUMMER 1986. THEREAFTER CANADIAN AND AUSTRALIAN PROGRAMMES WILL RUN OUT OF CASES. WE DO NOT KNOW WHEN US DEPARTURES WILL RUN DOWN BUT PROBABLY NOT UNTIL THE END OF THE YEAR. NEVITABLY THERE WILL COME A TIME WHEN THERE IS A GAP IN THE PROCESSING PIPELINE AND THERE WILL BE FEWER AND FEWER PEOPLE WITH BOTH EXIT VISAS AND ENTRY VISAS FOR RESETTLEMENT COUNTRIES READY TO DEPART.
F.
THE REASONFOR THE VIETNAMESE ACTION ARE UNCLEAR. THE MOST LIKELY S THAT THE VIETNAMESE HAVE WOKEN UP TO THE FACT THAT REFUGEE COMMUNITIES HAVE BECOME MORE VOCAL AND BETTER ORGANISED IN THEIR RESETTLEMENT COUNTRIES AND THERE IS MORE ANTI-REGIME ACTIVITY AS A RESULT. IN 1984 THE USA ACCEPTED A VIETNAMESE OFFER TO TAKE ALL RE-EDUCATION CAMP DETAINEES BUT THE VIETNAMESE RETRACTED THE OFFER FOLLOWING THE HO CHI MINH CITY AND SONG BE TREASON TRIALS. THE US WAS GIVEN TO UNDERSTAND THAT THE WETNAMESE WERE NOT GOING TO ALLOW POTENTIAL SUBVERSIVES OUT OF THE COUNTRY WHERE THEY COULD ORGANISE FURTHER ANTI-REGIME ACTIVITY ABROAD AND, POSSIBLY, FURTHER ATTEMPTED INSURRECTION AT HOME. WE MAY NOW BE SEEING AN EXTENSION OF THIS ARGUMENT (DO DOUBT STRONGLY FELT BY THE MINISTRY OF THE INTERIOR WHO, IN ANY CASE, LARGELY CONTROL ISSUE OF EXIT VISAS) TO THE ODP PRGRAMME AS A WHOLE. BY PUTTING UP THOSE THEY DO NOT WANT (GENUINE CRIMINALS AND ETHNIC CHINESE, AND SLOWING THE EUROPEANS' PROGRAMMES THEY CAN POSTPONE THE DAY WHEN THEY HAVE TO CONSIDER THE MORE SENSITIVE POLITICAL' CASES. IF THE FRENCH AND US CHOOSE NOT TO TAKE THESE THE VIETNAMESE THINK THEY CAN HOLD UP THE PROGRAMME UNTIL THEY DO. EMTHER WAY THOSE WHO MAY DO DAMAGE TO VIETNAM DO NOT LEAVE AND THE PROGRAMME SLOWS.
NOVE ZA.
It may
also be a
bit of fique
over US web refug
~(Jabove there has always beh
few a potebal dispute Schock
SQV & other over who of ben- the OSP those the SRU don't want, a "those other do?
Сё
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