TNAG-1524-FCO40-2088-Hong-Kong-Parliamentary-Sub-Committee-on-Race-Relations-and--1986 — Page 37

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

[HKIAIJ]

SECRETARY OF STATE'S MEETING WITH DR STEGER: 27 FEBRUARY 1986

Hong Kong Trade/Economy

Essential Facts

1.

Although the Hong Kong Government's earlier forecast of

7.2% economic growth in 1985 was not

not achieved, during the year

the economy grew

by approximately

3-3.5%.

lower

domestic

to

was also

The

in growth

than forecast in

years

10

of

exports during 1985

the budget although total exports during the year rose, reflecting the continued expansion of the re-export trade.

a certain extent the fall in domestic exports can be attributed

inevitable an

levelling-off following two

remarkable growth. But there was also a decline Hong Kong's major markets during the year. The appreciation of

the Hong Kong dollar, through its link with the US dollar, against other currencies reduced the competitiveness of Hong Kong's exports in the world's markets and also contributed.

2.

devaluation

in demand from

The Long term outlook for 1986 appears good. the

of the US dollar last autumn has improved Hong

Growth in competitiveness

the US is

ог to grow by 5%

expected to resume its

have markets

shown

trend.

Kong's

in export markets.

to allow the Hong Kong economy expected

from during 1986 and demand

the PRC is

upward

Property and construction

more

clear signs of revival. The Hang Seng Index recently reached

an

all

time high, improved levels of

manufacturing sector were recorded

n ew investment in the

following during 1985 and

three years of budget deficit, the Government expects to Return to balanced budgets in 1986.

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