TNAG-1503-FCO40-2061-Guangdong-nuclear-power-station-project-at-Daya-Bay-safety-c-1986 — Page 116

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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10.

On e source

suggested

to me that at present over 70%

of the people in the U.S.A. are against nuclear

Mr. T.K. Lau denied that it is as

energy. Although

high as 70%, he acknowledged that certainly the

majority of the U.S. citizens is opposed to the use

He attributed the reason to

of nuclear energy.

ignorance on the part of the citizens.

N B:

This is surprising because there has been wide.

and extensive publicity campaign to promote nuclear

energy in the U.S.A. for a very long time. It

certainly appears that Hong Kong people are no worse

alarmists than their U.S. counterparts.

wonders whether the present strong

And one

anti-nuclear

feeling in Hong Kong will really change when the

--

whole truth about nuclear energy is made known to

the public that is, when all the pros and cons

are given instead of a very one-sided version.

11.

As

Assessment of Risk

for assessment

organizations invariably use the probabilistic risk

assessment (PRA) which currently sets the risk of

any major nuclear mishap as 1 in 20,000 nuclear

of risk, the pro-nuclear

reactor years (per Harwell).

But

this really means

anything between 1 in 200 or 1 in 2,000,000, for the

figure is just a mean.

numerous

assumptions,

This approach depends on

each

of which is difficult to

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