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showed an accident to be. He went on to say that in his view most people would be interested in knowing what the impact on Hong Kong would be if an accident occurred. This did not mean that the low probability of a large accident would not be factored into any arguments prepared for the Hong Kong Government but simply that the exact value was not going to be of immediate interest to the Hong Kong public. Thus a full probabilistic risk assessment, which would be expensive and take a long time to complete, would not necessarily aid the liKG's cause.
7. There were other problems associated with carrying out a probabilistic risk assessment, in particular there was a shortage of fact about the proposed plant, eg would Daya Bay be a typical French-style PWR? would it be of the original or new design? Dr. Wade took the view that any report could only be on the basis that the plant would be built and operated to French standards.
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It was agreed, however, that the Authority would undertake a more thorough risk assessment study than had originally been planned (under new consultancy terms) and every effort would be made by HKG to obtain the required background information via CLP or, possibly, the British Embassy in Peking or, maybe, direct from the French. The Authority would also try and obtain information from French contacts. Dr. Wade and Dr. Nixon agreed to draw up new consultancy agreement terms and fees, including provision for a trip to Hong Kong by risk assessment experts later this year.
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9. On the question of the language of the Authority reports, it was agreed that in addition to the technical reports prepared by the Authority it would be necessary for the Authority and the KG to work together to produce versions which were suitable for general publication. It would be up to the KG to take the next step in connection with the outline contingency plan report already provided by the Authority because local detail about police, medical and other emergency services needed to be included in the public version. Authority should see the final version before publication. In the case of the risk assessment, the Authority would aim to produce two versions. Any further amendment by the HKG to the public version would again need to be cleared with the Authority. Mr. Yaxley undertook to let Dr. Wade know the name of a suitable contact in Hong Kong for negotiations on the text of the reports. He also agreed to let Dr. Wade have some feed back about the other aspects of the consultancy already completed, eg. the training carried out in the UK and the guidance on public education and radiation monitoring.
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