TNAG-1483-FCO40-2037-Economic-situation-in-Hong-Kong-1986 — Page 27

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

Domestic exports

CHAPTER 2 : THE EXTERNAL SECTOR

2.1

Domestic

exports have

staged а strong recovery

since March 1986. At $43,013 million, the value of domestic

exports in the third quarter of 1986 was substantially higher, by 25%, than in the third quarter of 1985. After

allowing for the effect of an estimated increase

increase of 2% in prices (1),

domestic exports grew by about 23% in real

terms. Against the growth rates of 1% recorded in the first

quarter and of 14% in the second quarter, an accelerating

growth trend over the past few months is evident. For the first nine months as a whole, the year-on-year growth rate of

domestic exports was 14% in value terms. As the trade indices available up to August 1986 indicate an increase of about 1% in domestic export prices over the same period last

year, the corresponding growth rate in real terms was about

13%. Latest figures on retained imports of raw materials and

semi-manufactures (paragraph 2.10) and on electricity

consumption by the industrial sector (paragraph 5.15) suggest that a sustained growth in domestic exports is likely, at

least in the next few months.

/Growth

(1)

Prices are based on unit values, which do not take into account changes in the composition or quality of goods traded, except for some selected commodities for which specification price indices are available. Changes in real terms are derived from changes in trade values by discounting the effect of price changes.

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