TNAG-1457-FCO40-1981-Relations-between-Hong-Kong-and-China-1986 — Page 198

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

G.F. 326

in

tr

Report on Developments in

Hong Kong/Chine nconomic kejat kons

third quarter

1985

General economic developments in China

Measures taken by the Chinese Government over

the past few months to cool down the overheated economy began to show some results in the third quarter. Compared with the corresponding period in 1984, the growth rate in

money terms of industrial output slowed down from 23.1% in

the first half of 1985 to 20.2% in July, 17.4% in August and further to 14.7% in September. Notwithstanding the recent slowdown, China in the first nine months of 1985

achieved a total industrial output value of kmb 614.2 billion, representing 81% of the annual production target for 1985 and an increase of 218 over the same period in 1984.

2.

A balance between light and heavy industries was

maintained, with each accounting for about half of the

total industrial output in the first nine months of this

year. llowever, when analysed by individual industries, the pattern of growth was biased in favour of production

of consumer durables like colour television sets and

household refrigerators, the output of which more than doubled. On the other hand, the increase in output of some key industrial raw materials lagged behind overall growth; for instance, the growth rate of pig iron and steel output was low, at only 7% in the first three

quarters of 1985. Energy, which has long constituted an important bottleneck constraining economic growth, recorded an increase of 11% (1), which was modest in comparison with the growth in industrial output.

Transport and telecommunications remained strained.

Loading and unloading of goods are often delayed due to congestion in the major ports of China.

CONFIDENTIAL #B

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