| CONFIDENTIAL
to instability and the divisive effects of party politics.
14.
Accordingly many people in Hong Kong will not wish to see
the 1987 review leading to dramatic changes. However the question
of introducing a directly elected element into the Legislative
Council continues to attract greatest public interest. Views are
divided.
Those strongly in support of introducing a directly
elected element maintain that this is the only way of ensuring the
evolution of a genuinely representative government, capable of
sustaining the "high degree of autonomy" provided for in the Joint
Declaration. Those against argue that the Hong Kong community is
not ready for such а development, which could be destabilising.
However the debate is now focussing increasingly on the timing of
the introduction of a directly elected element, (on an assumption
that this will come at some point before 1997) and on the proportion
of Legislative Council members to be selected by this method. There
seems to have been an acceptance, even among many of the more conversative business and professional groupings, that the direct
election of up to 25% of the Legislative Council would be tolerable:
and might neutralise demands for even more radical change. However
business groups are in private becoming increasingly doubtful about the wisdom of introducing a directly elected element in 1988.
15.
Despite recent controversy surrounding the role of appointed
members there is still a wide measure of public support for
retention of a significant appointed element in the Legislative
Council. The system of indirect elections based on functional
constituencies is also generally supported, and there are
and there are calls for
its further expansion.
16.
There is less unanimity of view on the electoral college as
a basis for indirect elections to the Legislative Council. Members
of the District Boards and two regional councils will probably support its retention, because it provides them with direct access
to membership of the Legislative Council. However there is concern
that membership of the electoral college is too narrowly-based. If the concept is to be retained there is a widespread feeling that the
system of election should be changed to avoid the unpleasant factional rivalries within District Boards which developed in 1985.
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