TNAG-1427-FCO40-1910-Vietnamese-refugees-in-Hong-Kong-general-1986 — Page 138

11.

MOCHTAR WOULD HOW REPORT BACK TO ASEAN PARTNERS AND IF THINGS

F

GO RIGHT', PRASETYO SAID, NOCHTAR WOULD VISIT HANOI AGAIN

BEFORE THE END OF THE YEAR.

12.

MENT

THE VIETNAMESE RESPONSE ON MIA IS REVEALING. BUT WHILE

APPARENTLY ACCEPTING MOCHTAR'S PREREQUISITE OF CONSTRUCTIVE US INVOLVEMENT, THEY WILL, AS EXPECTED, TRY TO USE THE BILATERAL

MIA ISSUE AS A MEANS TO BROADENING THE RELATIONSHIP WITH THE USA.

13. MEANWHILE THERE WAS EITHER NO DISCUSSION OF OR NO VIETNAMESE

MOVEMENT ON THE KEY ISSUES OF PEACEKEEPING FORCES, SAFETY ZONES,

A CONTROL COMMISSION AND ELECTIONS. AS FOR WITHDRAWAL OF VIETNAMESE

TROOPS FROM CAMBODIA, VIETNAM'S REAL INTENTIONS REMAIN OPAQUE,

VIETNAM'S PERCEPTION OF THE THREAT TO HER OWN SECURITY APPARENT

IN THE RECENT INDOCHINESE FOREIGN MINISTER'S STATEMENT AND

THE IMPLIED THREAT THAT IF EARLY WITHDRAWAL LED TO INCREASED

MILITARY PRESSURE ON THEHENG SAMRIN REGIME THEN THE PAVN WOULD

RETURN, REMAIN. MOCHTAR WAS CLEARLY UNABLE TO SECURE ANY GUARANTEES THAT, ONCE OUT, THE PAVN WOULD STAY OUT.

14.

MEANWHILE VIETNAM WILL NO DOUBT LOOK TOWARDS A LIMITED

REGIONAL CONFERENCE WITH THOSE COUNTRIES SUCH AS INDIA AND AUSTRALIA, WHO ARE PREDISPOSED TOWARDS HER, BEING PRESENT. WHILE THACH IS PEDDLING THIS AS A WAY FORWARD, THE PAVN WILL PRESUMABLY

BE TIGHTENING THEIR CONTROL OVER CAMBODIA IN THE HOPES THAT A

HANDOVER TO PRK FORCES AND WITHDRAWAL OF THE PAVN CAN BECOME A REALITY, WHILE STILL ENSURING VIETNAMESE SECURITY CONCERNS.

15. SEAD REGISTRY PLEASE PASS COPIES TO CHANCERIES BANGKOK, BRUNEI, JAKARTA, KUALA LUMPUR, MANILA, SINGAPORE, WASHINGTON, PEKING, UKMIS NEW YORK.

::, 0-4-11

CCM OPARA 11 LINE 2.......

GO RIGHTS ETC

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