36
GRS 150
CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL
FM HONG KONG 13080OZ FEB 85
TO ROUTINE F C O
TELEGRAM NUMBER 340 OF 13 FEBRUARY
Подоль
INFO ROUTINE HONG KONG GOVERNMENT OFFICE LONDON AND HANOI.
VIETNAM : ANNUAL REVIEW FOR 1984
R&R 243/5
1. MICHAEL PIKE'S ANNUAL REVIEW FORECAST FOOD SHORTAGES IN THE SPRING, LEADING TO ORDINARY PEOPLE, PARTICULARLY IN NORTHER TOWNS AND CITIES, HAVING TO TIGHTEN THEIR BELTS: EXPERIENCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS COULD LEAD TO INCREASED ILLEGAL MIGRATION. HE ALSO FORECASTS AN INCREASE IN ILLEGAL EMIGRATION DUE TO REPRESSIVE PUNISHMENT METED OUT BY THE VIETNAMESE SUPREME COURT.
2. IF YOU HAVE NOT ALREADY DONE SO, YOU MAY WISH TO DRAW THIS TO THE ATTENTION OF MINISTERS IN THEIR REVIEW OF THE VIETNAMESE REFUGEE PROBLEM. WE ARE APPROACHING THE PEAK PERIOD FOR BOAT ARRIVALS IN HONG KONG AND, THIS YEAR, THE SITUATION MAY BE EXACERBATED BY THESE ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL FORCES AT WORK IN VIETNAM.
3. GRATEFUL TO KNOW WHERE MATTERS STAND ON THE PAPER BEING PUT TO MINISTERS?
YOUDE
CAMBODIA/VIETNAM
STANDARD (PALACE)
SEAD
FED
SPD
HKD
SOV D
EED
MAED
UND
ECD (E)
NAD
CONSULAR D
CONS EM UNIT
MR WILSON
CABINET OFFICE
[COPIES SENT TO NO. 10 DOWNING STREET]
ADDITIONAL DISTN BOAT PEOPLE
COPIES TO:
MR R L. BAXTER, EAD/ODA HKGO- LONDON
CONFIDENTIAL
HKCK 243/5
RECEIVED IN RECIST
14 FEB 1985
DESK OFF INDEX
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