CONFIDENTIAL
52.
Notwithstanding the overall reduction in illegal immigration
there was an increase in the numbers attempting to
to enter Hong Kong illegally in middle and late 1985. Capture figures for this period
averaged 1,250 persons per month, that is 30 percent up on the same period last year, or approximately 15 percent of the level in 1979.
The reason s for the increase appear to be rumours of an amnesty and
levels of border security due to the recent announcement
decreased levels
The
of a reduction in the garrison, neither of which are true. increase may also be in part as a result of the introduction of more sophisticated detection equipment along the border earlier this year. Intelligence evaluation shows that the percentage of evaders
at the border ou t of the total numbers that attempt to cross has
1985.
decreased dramatically from 53 percent in 1979 to 10 percent in
Subsequent round-ups of evaders in the urban areas have
resulted in 100 percent capture rates in the last few years. Cross
border consultations with the Chinese authorities have been held to
try to stem the recent increase.
very
précis?
KIYA WATETER MAJENE PRIMERNOON DESTRA S
IX. CONCLUSION
50
53. The signing of the Joint Declaration, which confirmed that the United Kingdom would remain responsible for the administration of Hong Kong up to 30 June 1997, and which spelled ou t the basic policies of the People's Republic of China regarding Hong Kong for
1997, did much to restore the confidence of
years
about what the future he Id
of the agreement the future
forward from that
that date there are strong
of confidence in ail sectors of the
people of Hong Kong, who for the previous two
after years
uncertainty and anxiety
Following the announcement
more assured.
One year
indications of a return
community
•
the
felt had
in store.
looked much
54.
Over the next 12 months, that confidence is likely to be
maintained. So far as the development of representative government is concerned, following the recent changes in the composition of the Legislative Council the coming year will be a period consolidation rather than new initiatives. On the economic front, the indicators
reassuring,
the possibility of continuing
are
"
notwithstanding
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17
CONFIDENTIAL
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