TNAG-1361-FCO40-1807-Hong-Kong-Hansard-reports-and-minutes-of-the-meetings-of-the-1985 — Page 354

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On the basis of the present number of Form 3

students, Mrs Chow suggests that 15,000 Form 4 places

should be bought by the Government in 1986-87,

increasing to 30,000 places for Forms 4 and 5 for the

following two years, and scaling down in 1989 and

thereafter when new Government and aided secondary

schoools come on stream. I would only like to point out

that the number of Form 3 leavers will from now on

correspond more and more closely to the 15-year old age

group because repetition in Forms 1 and 2 will be

reduced, because more and more students will be

attending the class level appropriate to their age and

because the promise of a subsidised post-Form 3 place

for every student who wishes to proceed with full-time

education should result in a higher Form 3 enrolment

ratio than in the past. Hence we have used the

projected 15-year old population for the years 1985 to

1991 to calculate the number of private places required

to be bought to achieve the immediate phasing out of the

JSEA. On this basis, we estimate that some 179,000

Form 4 and 5 places will need to be bought between the

years 1985-86 to 1991-92, or 157,000 places of September the date.

1986 is taken

as the