TNAG-1267-FCO40-1616-Economic-situation-in-Hong-Kong-1983 — Page 246

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

The terms of trade index

(8)

2.19

improved slightly

from 99 in the first quarter of this year to an estimated 100

(9) in the second quarter

It appears that the sharp

depreciation of the Hong Kong dollar during the second quarter

has almost immediately resulted in a

resulted in a faster rate of increase

in the unit value index of total exports. The rate of

increase in the unit value index of imports will also accelerate as a result of the depreciation, but probably with a time lag.

/Invisible

...

(8)

Due to the growing importance of re-exports, the terms of trade index has been re-defined as the ratio between the unit value index of total exports (domestic exports and re-exports) and that of imports. In previous reports, the terms of trade index was defined as the ratio between the unit value index of domestic exports and that of imports.

(9) Comparing the second quarter of 1983 with the same period last year,

however, there was a deterioration in the terms of trade.

Unit value indexes

(1981-100)

Total

exports

Imports

Terms of trade index+

1982 HỒ

107

106

101#

Q4

1983 01

Adaay वै

H2

107

106

102#

Q1

107

107

100#

Q2

107

105

103#

Q3

108

104

104#

107

107

100#

110

111

99

Q2(*)

114

114

100

Hl(*)

112

113

100

Notes: (+) The terms of trade index may not equal to the unit value index

of total exports divided by that of imports due to rounding.

(#) The terms of trade indexes prior to January 1983 have been revised according to the new definition given in footnote (8) above.

(*) Estimated by using trade indexes available up to May 1983.

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