TNAG-1267-FCO40-1616-Economic-situation-in-Hong-Kong-1983 — Page 138

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

PAGE THREE XPGRØ994 RESTR

IN GAMMON, ITS WHOLLY OWNED CONSTRUCTION SUBSIDIARY.SALE WILL GIVE

JARDINES BADLY NEEDED CASH INJECTION.

5.ALSO ON GLOOMY SIDE, BANKRUPTCIES OVER FIRST NINE MONTHS ARE UP A

REPORTED 61 PER CENT AND VALUE OF CLAIMS AGAINST LIQUIDATORS A

REPORTED 100 PER CENT.CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY IS DOWN A REPORTED

30 PER CENT FROM LAST YEAR WITH SLIDE PREDICTED TO CONTINUE. THERE IS

LITTLE PROSPECT OF ANY GROWTH IN OVERALL EXPENDITURE IN PLANT

MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT AS LOCAL BUSINESSMEN ARE RELUCTANT TO

REINVEST THEIR EXFORT EARNINGS IN HKONG.(FINANCIAL SECRETARY HAS

SAID HE IS LOOKING AT TAX MEASURES TO ENCOURAGE REPATRIATION AND

REINVESTMENT OF THESE PROFITS).STOCK MARKET TURNOVER IS THIN,

PROPERTY MARKET REMAINS IN A SLUMP AND CONSUMER SPENDING IS FLAT.

6.NEW FOREIGN EXCHANGE SYSTEM IS ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO UNCERTAINTY.

FORMERLY EXCHANGE RATE WAS FIXED WHILE INTEREST RATES AND MONEY

SUPPLY VARIED.NOW THERE IS IN EFFECT A FIXED EXCHANGE RATE WITH A

FLOATING INTEREST RATE.DANGER UNDER OLD SYSTEM WAS THAT OF

SIGNIFICANT INFLATION IF DOLLAR WAS ALLOWED TO CONTINUE ITS STEEP

DECLINE.PRICES HAD ALREADY BEEN RISING AND AS CONSEQUENCE REAL

WAGES IN CONSTRUCTION AND MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES ARE DOWN.

INFLATION IS NOW EXPECTED TO EQUAL LAST YEARS RATE OF 11 PER CENT.

UNDER NEW FINANCIAL SYSTEM RISING INTEREST RATES WOULD BRING ON A

CREDIT SQUEEZE HAVE A SERIOUS IMPACT ON DOMESTICALLY ORIENTED

BUSINESSES GENERALLY.IN COURSE OF FIRST WEEK, LIQUIDITY DRAINED OUT

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