GPS 400
CONFIDENTIAL
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FM OTTAWA 882315Z NOV 83
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·IDENTAL put together
CONFIDENT
TELEGRAM NUMBER 601 OF 08 NOVEMBER
INFO PRIORITY TO WASHINGTON
INFO ROUTINE TO MOSCOW
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INFO SAVING TO UKDEL NATO PEKING OTHER NATO POSTS
Q.
MY TELNO 589: PRIME MINISTER'S MEETING WITH MR TRUDEAU ON 11 NOVEMBER
1.
MR TRUDEAU WILL BE TALKING TO THE PRIME MINISTER IMMEDTATE!
AFTER MEETINGS WITH FIVE OTHER NATO HEADS OF GOVERNMENT. HE
SHOULD THEREFORE BE IN A POSITION TO EXPAND ON HIS IDEAS, AND TO
TELL THE PRIME MINISTER WHAT REACTIONS HE HAS RECEIVED FROM
THE FRENCH, GERMANS, DUTCH, BELGIANS AND ITALIANS. HE WILL,
OF COURSE, BE PARTICULARLY ANXIOUS TO HAVE THE PRIME MINISTER'S
REACTION TO HIS LETTER TO HER OF 25 OCTOBER, TO HIS GUELPH SPEECH (MY
TELNO 578) AND TO ANY FURTHER POINTS HE BRINGS FROM HIS MEETINGS IN
EUROPE.
2. MR REAGAN IS REPORTED TO HAVE REPLIED TO MR TRUDEAU'S LETTER,
INVITING HIM TO COME TO WASHINGTON. COMMENTATORS HERE SUGGEST THAT
IF MR TRUDEAU HAS, ON BALANCE, A REASONABLY POSITIVE RESPONSE FROM
EUROPEAN LEADERS THIS WEEK A VISIT TO WASHINGTON MAY TAKE PLACE
FAIRLY SOON THEREAFTER, PERHAPS EVEN NEXT WEEK.
3.
MEMBERS OF MR TRUDEAU'S IMMEDIATE ENTOURAGE HAVE INDICATED TO
US SIGNS OF NERVOUSNESS ABOUT MR DAM'S MEETING WITH MRS THATCHER.
THEY APPEAR TO SEE DAM'S TOUR OF WESTERN EUROPE AS, IN PART, AN
ATTEMPT TO GET THE AMERICANS' WORD INTO EUROPEAN EARS AHEAD OF
MR TRUDEAU'S VISITS. WE HAVE TOLD THEM THAT WE UNDERSTAND THAT
THE VISIT WAS PRIMARILY TO EXPLAIN THE AMERICAN POSITION ON
GRENADA.
4. MR TRUDEAU WOULD, I AM SURE, LIKE TO HAVE VIEWS ON ANDROPOV'S ROPOV'S
HEALTH AND ITS POSSIBLE CONSEQUENCES FOR SOVIET ATTITUDES IN THE
SHORT AND LONG TERM. THIS AND THE STRENGTH OR OTHERWISE OF ANDROPOV'S POSITION WILL CLEARLY HAVE AN IMPORTANT INFLUENCE ON THE TACTICS AND PARTICULARLY THE TIMING OF ANY EAST/WEST MOVES AND I BELIEVE THAT TRUDEAU IS WORKING TOWARDS AN EARLY VISIT TO MOSCOW. (IF WE DO NOT SHARE THE VIEW EXPRESSED IN TRUDEAU'S LETTER OF 25 OCTOBER, THAT ANDROPOV '' SEEMS TO BE ENCOUNTER ING CONSIDERABLE DIFFICULATY IN ESTABLISHING HIS POLITICAL CONTROL'' IT WOULD BE USEFUL IF PRIME MINISTER WOULD LET HIM HAVE OUR VIEW ON
THAT).
CONFIDENTAL
/GRENADA
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