TNAG-1174-FCO40-1476-Proposed-replacement-airport-for-Hong-Kong-at-Deep-Bay-or-Ch-1982 — Page 68

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5.4

5.4.1

5.4.2

Impact on the Base Strategy

the

BACKGROUND TO THE "BASE STRATEGY" Before exploring

impact of an airport in Deep Bay on the Base Strategy, it is relevant to set out some of the underlying principles behind the strategy as these are fundamental to an appreciation of the impact :

i) The strategy is designed to accommodate a fore-

cast population of 470,000 by 1966. This respresents an extension of existing trends and contains no element of stimulated growth.

ii)

The geographical location of this trend growth has been designed to meet those study objectives which are inter alia concerned with resolving the existing problems in the study area and as such the Base Strategy has been recommended for immediate implementation.

iii) The Base Strategy is independent of the major

growth strategy in that it is robust in planning terms with or without induced growth beyond 470,000.

iv)

There are two complementary facets of the Base Strategy: first, the planned encouragement of development in the Yuen Long-Tuen Mun corridor and two rural centres at Kam Tin and San Tin; secondly, the firm resistance of development in other areas (i.e. the "rural" hinterland") with the exception of village expansion and

rationalisation.

The Base Strategy, therefore, represents the consultants' views of what should happen over the whole study area with or without major growth.

ECONOMIC GROWTH : The impact of an airport in Deep Bay will have a profound effect upon economic growth in the North West New Territories. This must remain a qualitative judgement until further work is done. From data related to studies of Chek Lap Kok, however, it can be assumed that some 35,000 jobs will be gene- rated directly by the airport (i.e. within the actual curtilage of the airport). In very crude terms that amount of employment may be expected to support a population in the order of 100,000 people. Surprisingly little work has been done at Chek Lap Kok to assess the likely level of employment generated outside the airport curtilage, ancillary service employment (transport services, hotels etc....) or employment generally in the industrial sector, generated by virture of its proximity to an international airport. Without further work it would be inappropriate to guess

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