TNAG-1173-FCO40-1465-Future-of-Hong-Kong-special-study-by-FCO-for-the-Prime-Minis-1982 — Page 189

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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of retained imports (ie imports less exports).

10. The Fund's intervention in the exchange markets has

in the past been aimed at moderating disorderly fluctuations

round the perceived trend leaving the trend in the rate to

be determined by market forces. In the event of a major

crisis, it might be expected to react by more substantial

intervention or even more radical measures. Should its

resources be insufficient, the Hong Kong Government has powers

to borrow abroad, on the security of the general

revenue of the colony, for the account of the Fund. In

normal circumstances, the Hong Kong Government, with

minimal external debt and a substantial fiscal surplus,

would be regarded as a prime borrower. However, should its

borrowing capacity be impaired by political and economic

uncertainty, it would have to apply to HMG for guarantees

on its borrowing. The Bank of China is almost certainly

the largest buyer of foreign currency in Hong Kong for, in

China's eyes, that is the purpose Hong Kong serves.

It could,

therefore, temporarily lessen the impact on the foreign

exchange market by holding back from buying foreign

currency and even selling into the market. But it is most

unlikely that the Bank could hold back, or intervene, for

very long.

Relationship with International Financial Organisations

11. Hong Kong is not a member of the IMF or IBRD (World

/Bank

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