TNAG-1073-FCO40-1323-Policy-of-the-Government-of-Hong-Kong-on-education-including-1981 — Page 186

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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whom it cannot yet serve as fully as might be wished): the population,

moreover, is still a young one, about 37 per cent being below age 20 and

25.3 per cent under age 15.

1.5

The rate of natural population increase, however, has been

dropping steadily over a ten-year period, from 14.9 per thousand in 1970

to 12.0 in 1980 (a result of the birth rate declining from 20.0 to 16.9

per thousand during this period and the death rate remaining stable at

about 5 per thousand). Moreover, the age structure of the population has

changed considerably over the past ten years, with a markedly lower

proportion now under 15 years, a growing proportion of working-age

A redistribution of the population and a declining dependency ratio.

population is also being effected with the development of six new towns in

the New Territories, designed to alleviate the high densities of existing

urban areas and to provide better housing and general living conditions.

These demographic changes, though mostly welcome in the long term, have

created awkward short-term problems of supply and demand in education

particularly overprovision of resources in areas of declining population

and underprovision in developing areas. The problems have not proved

insuperable but their solutions have tended to determine the direction and

pace of some educational developments in ways which have not always been

entirely consistent with the underlying aims of educational policies.

1.6

In spite of the recent adverse effects of illegal immigration on social development and the fact that Hong Kong has inevitably been affected

by the sluggish state of the world economy, with a recent fairly sharp

slowing down in the growth rate of domestic exports, prospects for future

social and economic development are bright. The growth of the economy since

the recession in 1974 and 1975 has been sustained for five consecutive years

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