CONFIDENTIAL
DRAFT
Chanter 9
Estimates of Sunply and Demand
機密
Demand for Child Care Centre and Kindergarten Places
9.1
The decision to provide child care for 2- and 3-year olds
only and kindergartens for 4- and 5-year olds only, as described in detail
in Chapter 2, and to phase in its introduction over a three-year period
commencing in September 1982, complicates the demand picture for child
care centre and kindergarten places.
9.2
The table below is based on information gained when the
Green Paper was being prepared, but modified to take into account the
change in policy mentioned above together with current population projections.
Population
Demand
Year
2-3 year
4-5 year
age group
age
for CCC
Demand as of 2-3 year
Demand
Demand as %
for
of 4-5 year
age
group
places
group
KG places
age
group
1982 174800
166800
30700
18
200700
120
1983 179100
172000
44100
25
186200
108
1984 183300
175400 55200
30
181700
104
1985 186200
179800 56200
30
176700
98
1986 188800
183900 56900
30
181100
98
1987 192300
186900 58000
30
184500
99
1988 195000
189500 58900
30
187400
99
1989 196800
193000 59500
30
190900
99
1990 197100
1991 196300
1992 194300
195700 59700
197400 59500
197800 59000
30
193500
99
w
30
195000
99
30
195000
99
9.3
It should be noted that the demand expressed as a percentage of
the age group is somewhat unrealistic from 1982 to 1984 since during that
period both child care centres and kindergartens will be providing places for
CONFIDENTIAL
3-year
機密
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