18
This is on various assumptions including that 50% of 1 and
2 person households will continue to share
accommodation with others. If we succeed in completing ah average, and
I stress the word average, of about 40,000 a year in the public and
26,000 a year in the private sector, over the next five years, that is
to say 330,000 new flats by the end of the financial year 85/86, after
allowing for increase in population and demolition of existing flats
for redevelopment and the trend towards the formation of more, smaller households, the shortfall should be reduced to about 90,000 and unforeseen
circumstances apart the problem should be reduced to manageable
proportions in the second half of this decade.
47.
I am aware of the many pitfalls in these figures and predictions,
but I have dared to use them to illustrate how immense the task facing
us is, and how essential it is that both public and private sectors
continue to build to their maximum capacity if the task is to be
accomplished.
Conclusion
48.
49.
Two further points on this important subject.
Firstly the solution to this problem assumes a large contribution
by the private sector. Consequently if private sector production falls off, either ways of encouraging it, or an increase in Government construction,
must be considered.
50.
Secondly the sharp rise in land and property prices, in addition
to interest rates, has greatly- aggravated the effects of housing shortage.
Housing otherwise available has become beyond the means of those who need
it, the proportion of family incomes spent on rents or mortgages has been
/grossly
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