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(vii) A decline in this somewhat fragile market
is to be expected at some future date, particularly
if the present expansionary trends continue.
It is not possible on the evidence available to
estimate when the decline will appear, whether it
will lead quickly to a widespread demand for
redemptions, or whether one territory will be
more severely affected than another. It is reasonable
to expect that coins forming part of a relatively
small issue will retain a certain rarity value
which would not be true of the generally large,
subscription basis, issues. The value would also be
dependent upon whether the coins had a genuine
M
commeorative purpose and were well-designed, and
were thus attractive in themselves as numismatic
items, or whether the initial sales had resulted
primarily from intensive marketing techniques.
(viii) Possible Liabilities There are two.
One is that coins will be returned to their country
of origin to be used as legal tender. The other
is that they will be returned to be redeemed for
external currencies. It is clear that all issuing
authorities have a moral obligation, if not always
a precise legal one, to redeem their numismatic coins
at face value. But this liability carries no risk
for the issuing authority if it has foreign exchange
assets available which are equivalent to the
coins presented. If such assets are insufficient a
risk has been accepted.
Considering the position
of the dependencies overall, it is evident that the total liability at end 1976 stood at about 35 mn.
/Aveinat
fed
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