TNAG-0635-FCO40-783-Supplies-of-electricity-for-Hong-Kong-1977 — Page 90

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From the GDP forecast, the generation per capita for future years has been calculated and the figures obtained are in close agreement with those calculated directly from population statistics (in Table 2).

Table 3

Generation Per Capita

By Projection of Generation per Capita

1977

1975

1981

2460

1986

3130

By Projection of GDP per Capita

1954

2469

3088

(d) Forecasts

By using the generation per capita statistics and relating them to the trend of annual load factor (estimated as approx. 55.9% in the 1980's) CLP calculated the maximum demand and generation forecasts, presented in

their medium forecast below :

Table 4

-

CLP's Medium Forecast

Units Generated

Maximum Demand

Financial

Million

•

Year

MW

Units

Growth

Growth

1977

6419

8.8

1328

7.8

1978

6936

8.1

1428

7.5

1979

7493

8.0

1535

7.5

1980

8092

8.0

1653

7.7

1981

8735

7.9

1783

7.9

1982

9424

7.9

1924

7.9

1983

10156

7.8

2074

7.9

1984

10894

7.3

2225

7.8

1985

11638

6.8

2377

7.3

1986

12404

6.6

2533

6.8

1987

13190

6.3

2693

6.6

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