TNAG-0630-FCO40-778-Effect-of-GATT-Multi-Fibre-Arrangement-on-Hong-Kong-negotiat-1988 — Page 122

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

CONFIDENTIAL

fully support this important plank in the proposals.

3.

In effecting a stabilisation at 1976 levels it is necessary

to leave some room for newcomers and small suppliers. Moreover the

Commission have started from the premise, which it is hard to deny,

that the poorest developing countries, especially India and Pakistan,

cannot be expected to take cuts below the level of their 1976

exports to the Community. Hence logic has led the Commission

to conclude that some cut-back below 1976 levels will have to be

made for the "dominant" suppliers, Hong Kong, South Korea and Taiwan.

The figures show that these three will at least suffer proportionately

similar cutbacks though Taiwan is to be treated a little more harshly.

We are sure, however that there will be some scope for the Hong

Kong negotiators to obtain some improvements. But I do not think

they will be able to attain 1976 figures.

UK/Hong Kong Interests

4.

Our overriding concern will be the maintenance of global

import ceilings, especially for the eight products identified as

"highly sensitive". At the same time, we recognise that we have

a duty to protect the interests of Hong Kong, in view of its

dependent status and, at least, to try for reasonable treatment

for Hong Kong. FCO officials argued Hong Kong's case with Mr Tran

when he was in London on 9 September. The Governor's proposed visit

to Brussels will provide an opportunity to put forward Hong Kong's

case at the highest level in the Commission. Hong Kong must

understand, however, that there is little sympathy for their case in

CONFIDENTIAL

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