TNAG-0621-FCO40-769-Budget-of-Hong-Kong-1977 — Page 113

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

G. F. 323

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10.

The estimated increases in exports and imports in real

terms were respectively 27% and 24% whereas export less import of

services was estimated to have increased by 60%.

5.

11.

The preliminary estimate of the gross domestic product for

1976 was HK$47,114 million at current market prices. This represented

an average annual rate of increase of 17% in money terms and 8 in real

terms between 1970 and 1976. The real growth of 16% in real torms in

1976 is unlikely to be repeated in 1977. Even if the growth in

overseas demand does not fall off, the hardening in the Hong Kong dollar

will tend to slow down growth in domestic exports in 1977.

increased domestic incomes can be expected to generate further increases

in imports and some easing off in the terms of trade. As total external

trade is almost twice the size of the gross domestic product, both

these developments will produce a growth in the gross domestic product

more in line with past trend.

Furthermore,

Tables 1, 2 and 37

CONFIDENTIAL

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