TNAG-0607-FCO40-755-Monitoring-progress-made-on-planning-papers-on-Hong-Kong-1977 — Page 121

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

items not singled out for discriminatory treatment by the C. And let us

remember these accounted for 90% of our total domestic exports to the

world as a whole in 1976.

The public finances

21.

Inspite of some unexpected features in the economic situation I

have described for this year, it is broadly that predicted by the Financial

Secretary in his budget speech. With regard to the public finances, we

expect that this year total expenditure will be about 100 M. higher than

the original estimate of $8,245 M. On recurrent account this projection

allows for additional expenditure on the public service as a result of

the 1977 salaries revision, and some other plusses and minuses. On capital

account there is no reason to believe that the estimate will require significant

revision.

22.

Subject to all the reservations that must be made at this early

stage of the financial year, we shall probably finish up with a slightly

larger surplus than that predicted by the Financial Secretary.

Summary of economic and financial position

23.

So our economic and financial positions this year are generally good;

not es good es last year and with uneven patches of light and shade, but I

repeat generally good. Inough worrying uncertainties overshadow our

assessment of next year's prospects, over a very wide field these too are

reasonably good, but a proper assessment is impossible until the

outcome of the EC ncgotiation is known, and we have a clearer idea of

whether and to what extent the major economies of the world will be

stimulated by new economic policies.

24.

There are however two points I would like to make that arise

out of this assessment.

Two problems

(i) Excessive domestic consurption

25.

The first is the fact that domestic consumption has been growing

/faster....

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