TNAG-0569-FCO40-702-Planning-paper-on-Hong-Kong-1976 — Page 22

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

CONFIDENTIAL

Revised workings

for Question 3:

(a) Deflator:

as f*~

148

163

(1966=100)

(1966 * 100)

1972

145

1972/73

1973

127

1973/74

1974

1811⁄2

1974/75

1975

181%

1998/76

*

1976

189 or 194

ker 194

1976/77

GDP Estimates (indexes for

/

fixed capital formation, averaged).

first quarter

1979/80

181%

18.3 (perhaga 18111⁄2 better in view of recoman

}

...

pebki amproditare rabimishes kan these ***** ab 1976 quarterĥ priima. Government consumption expenditure and

Ad im 1472, allowing for recussion

* implicit in Despatch, taking index for 1972/73 m 148.

(6)

Rabe of growth of public expenditure, in real terms:

Public experditure"

(MM $ million)

Dettator

(Indem, 1966 2100)

Expenditure uk

1472/23 (1 million)

grow

domestic

Coincrease in rent supendikare în praniem ¿***

11

42/72

3885

3864

73/74

16.3

4607

18.6

74/25

6622

75/76

6778

18112 1812 (123)

5400

17.2

5527 (5482)

2.4 (1.5)

76/77

8224

189/194

6440/6274

16-5/13.5 (05527)

Annual average 72/73 −76/77 ; _124-131⁄4/2* (4 years)

77/18

77/43

184/194

7160/6975

18/74

7844

189/194

7709/7510.

79/80

10511

189/194

8231/8019

11.2

7.7

X

6.8

Annual

average 12/13 - 79/80: „boutil 4×

(7 years)

as fer

Questions land 2.

Figures in Despatch imply

growth for 1925/76

average of 131% (which includes the slow rate

GDP MI974

and 1975 didmat inurekst .t

T

ll, in een

altermey

over the period 1977/78-1979/80, GDP in projected to incresse

terma).

than 6%%%

"gene in

X

as por original Question 5, becomes 13-13% %.

it rater of increase for 1978/79 and 1979/80 axe

annual

14.4% and 14.27 respectively

them

average for the your period 1992/s2 to 1979/80

CONFIDENTIAL

1

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