SECRET UK EYES A
of an independent state, should accept a far larger share of
responsibility for its defence; and the UK's economic
difficulties and Defence Review requirements which make it
essential for us to ask for a larger contribution. This will
be the occasion formally to state our terms of a 75% contribution
from Hong Kong to the cost of a reduced garrison: i.e. for
1976/77 we want HK $351M for an estimated garrison cost of
HK $468M. This demand needs to be put in the best possible
light by emphasising that a number of elements have not been
included in the costing and that in consultation with Hong
Kong officials we have done our best to reduce the figures to a
minimum. A draft speech is at Brief B. Although the Minister's
statement may provoke some questions and counter-statements
it will be important not to let this opening session develop
into a negotiation, lest entrenched positions are taken up from
which it is difficult for either side to move.
20. The next phase will probably be one of clarification.
Although we have tried to clear up in advance as many outstanding
issues as possible, Hong Kong will almost certainly want to seek
further information on some aspects of the garrison, such as
our reinforcement capability and the pros and cons of the
frigate and patrol craft options for the naval element of the
garrison. It seems likely that in view of the extra cost of
the frigate option (about HK 85M a year) and the fact that, for
dockyard reasons, we want to carry out the refit in the UK,
Hong Kong will want to move fairly quickly to the patrol craft
option, although there could be difficulties here if replacement
costs have to be incurred before the end of the new agreement.
These points can probably be dealt with by officials. Our
object will be to answer factual questions, but not to give
anything away.
SECRET
UK EYES A
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