TNAG-0476-FCO40-541-Strength-of-garrison-in-Hong-Kong-1974 — Page 62

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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iv.

V.

Dutch will observe this pledge.

The Americans

The Americans are currently resisting strong

domestic pressure from Congress (e.g. Senator

Mansfield) to make cuts in their forces stationed

in Europe and have been urging the Europeans to

do more not less in their own defence. The

US Secretary of Defense has recently warned that

significant British reductions, particularly if

they involved cuts in the strength of BAOR

outside the context of MBFR, would surely be

followed by unilateral US reductions.

If the

US Administration was indeed compelled to make

substantial reductions, these could seriously

imperil the strategy of the Alliance and its

political cohesion. There is a strong probability

that UK cuts, if followed by significant !!S cuts

would precipitate European cuts; and some countries

e.g. Denmark, Norway and Holland might reconsider

their membership of the Alliance.

The cohesion of NATO and our position in it

Reductions to the Critical level would in any

circumstances be a severe shock to the cohesion

of NATO, and as indicated in iv above could in

some circumstances lead to its unravelling.

addition to the essential minimum of political

consultation‘(ii above) we could mitigate the

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