SECRET
DEFENCE
1.
The
In the current Defence Review all options are open,
including the possibility of a reduction, or even (though this is
most unlikely) the removal of the Hong Kong garrison. In fact
there is probably a good technical case for some reduction.
force is probably unnecessarily large for use in internal disorders.
It is certainly too small to cope with the Chinese army, against
which Hong Kong would be virtually indefensible in a determined
attack.
2.
But the garrison is an important factor in Hong Kong's
confidence about its own future. Moreover Hong Kong's defence
contribution is a highly emotive question in the Colony. Great
care would be needed in negotiating any changes.
3.
If Mr Roberts raises the question, I suggest the Minister
should say only that, as he will know, Britain's worldwide
defence capabilities are being reviewed. But we have Hong Kong's
needs very well in mind.
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