TNAG-0429-FCO40-494-Programme-Analysis-and-Review-(PAR)-Future-of-Dependent-Terr-1974 — Page 101

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PART II

3.

PERSPECTIVE AND SUMMARY OF FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

The study should be seen in the general context of UK trade and aid, which is

briefly analysed in Annex A. Some illustrative figures are that in 1971 UK

exports were about £9,000m of which 28% went to developing countries.

cash aid programme was £269m.

4.

The gross

Recommendation (a) of the Adams Report quoted above was made in the context

of an increasing aid programme which was expected to provide scope, with the

fulfilment of existing commitments, for more emphasis on the countries and forms

of aid offering special advantage to our economic and political interests. These

expectations have been modified by events. The aid programme has come under

severe pressure from various quarters and in particular from the effects of war in

the sub continent. While these pressures should decline, it has been thought

necessary to bring forward resources from later years of the current Survey period

which have subsequently to be replaced. This rearrangement of resources has

resulted in the following programmes, announced in Cand 5178:

1972/73

£275m

1973/74

£270m

1974/75

£281m

1975/76

£294m

1976/77

£324m

There are various potential claims on the aid programme up to 1975/76 under matters

still to be negotiated in the EEC context, which cannot at this stage be defined

or quantified. In addition the new enlarged EDF will require substantial contri-

butions after 1975/76, when (on present figures) the increase in the programme is

10% in real terms. The freedom of manoeuvre has thus become circumscribed in the

next year or two and may well be less than was hoped for last year.

A

5. Recognition of this situation emphasised the need to consider the Adams

Recommendation (a) together with Recommendation (b) an examination in depth of

the relationship between aid operations and commercial benefits as there is

scope throughout the programme for ways in which, apart from changes in country

allocations and without undermining the developmental soundness of the programme,

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