TNAG-0385-FCO40-431-Trade-relations-between-Hong-Kong-and-the-EEC-1974 — Page 7

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

4.

Tuesday, December 11, 1973

I come now to oil and its products. I need not outline the

background of our present problem of oil supply and storage, since events in the Middle East have filled our newspapers in recent weeks, and you are all aware of the potential gravity of an interrupted flow of oil to Hong Kong. Again we must rely on outside sources and are largely dependent on the skill of our buyers and suppliers to obtain a fair share of the oil

products that we need. But what your Government can do I assure you it

is doing, and it is in close touch with Her Majesty's Government and other Governments. I should like to mention the helpful and sympathetic attitude of Her Majesty's Government and of the Chinese Government.

The world shortage in oil could affect us in various ways, Firstly, and most directly and immediately, supplies for consumption in Hong Kong could and probably will be reduced. In the first place every one of us

must do what he can to help reduce demand. Substantial savings can be

made simply by reducing waste. At this point in time, it is impossible to judge whether we in Hong Kong are going to face seriously reduced

supplies of oil and oil products. But we think it prudent to achieve a reduction in consumption of 10 - 15% now, in anticipation of reduction in

supplies later, If reduction in supplies is of this magnitude we may expect personal inconvenience rather than economic damage to result. But damage could come from the less direct impact of the world shortage.

For instance, in the medium term, world oil shortage must affect our supply of oil-based raw materials - certainly as to price and probably

as to volume. The first need not necessarily affect our competitive position

but the second couldaffect our earnings.

/Furthermore,

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